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Overview
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595
Volume
1100.0M
24h volume
21.9M
1w volume
118.3M
Open interest
14.7M
Liquidity
274.9M
Liquidity CLOB
274.9M
Start
Jul 2, 2025
End
Jul 20, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 2, 2025
Event ID
30615
Slug
2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595
Markets
60
Raw event data
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"startDate": "2025-07-02T22:28:01.844318Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-ITPKPUTc8QkB.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-ITPKPUTc8QkB.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"volume": "0",
"active": false,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-07-02T16:55:14.50461Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-28T11:03:25.240279Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Team AO",
"groupItemThreshold": "59",
"questionID": "0xb5c32a9acd39848acad4913ac4cd49c5de2afcc9d23a8a7ba2419375fab8743b",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 0,
"liquidityNum": 0,
"endDateIso": "2026-07-20",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 0,
"volume1wk": 0,
"volume1mo": 0,
"volume1yr": 0,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"6248841595165561514782366563826694953383315834764501750927289530971890369258\", \"2508228306296492947994749517968042065729708036603468124889079030422879794215\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrAmm": 0,
"volume1wkAmm": 0,
"volume1moAmm": 0,
"volume1yrAmm": 0,
"volume24hrClob": 0,
"volume1wkClob": 0,
"volume1moClob": 0,
"volume1yrClob": 0,
"volumeAmm": 0,
"volumeClob": 0,
"liquidityAmm": 0,
"liquidityClob": 0,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xb5c32a9acd39848acad4913ac4cd49c5de2afcc9d23a8a7ba2419375fab87400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x365bb26e90cbfed942d97bc6ac06e14f3442c9a8dbdc07aa82063289aad92aec",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-07-02T22:27:33Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 0,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
"spread": 1,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0,
"oneYearPriceChange": 0,
"lastTradePrice": 0,
"bestBid": 0,
"bestAsk": 1,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": true,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-07-02T22:06:41.89742Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "sports_fees_v2",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.03,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
}
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "100350",
"label": "Soccer",
"slug": "soccer",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2024-08-21T16:31:18.953213Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:33:09.955379Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "1",
"label": "Sports",
"slug": "sports",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-24 22:37:50.296+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-10-24T22:37:50.31Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:47:16.461062Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102232",
"label": "FIFA World Cup",
"slug": "fifa-world-cup",
"createdAt": "2025-06-08T02:11:18.665669Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:58:26.597292Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102350",
"label": "2026 FIFA World Cup",
"slug": "2026-fifa-world-cup",
"createdAt": "2025-07-02T14:30:54.870153Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:31:50.140497Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102169",
"label": "Hide From New",
"slug": "hide-from-new",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:28:28.912197Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"enableNegRisk": true,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": true,
"featuredOrder": 11,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-07-02T22:06:00.953755Z",
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "France and Spain anchor the tightly bunched 2026 FIFA World Cup market as the leading contenders, with their implied probabilities reflecting strong recent form and squad depth heading into the expanded 48-team tournament. Spain’s status as European champions, combined with an extended unbeaten run and fluid attacking play under Luis de la Fuente, keeps them competitive, while France benefits from exceptional depth and a proven core that reached the previous final. England’s flawless European qualifying campaign adds pressure on the top tier, and Argentina’s defending-champion experience alongside Brazil’s attacking talent prevents any single side from pulling away. Recent injury concerns for key players in several squads, including England and Spain, alongside the balanced group-stage paths for most favorites, sustain the close trader consensus across the field.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-05-21T23:00:55.738Z"
}
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- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 29.2MLiq 554.8KEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 23.0MLiq 511.0KEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 18.8MLiq 1.4MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 20.2MLiq 1.5MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 22.0MLiq 409.2KEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 20.3MLiq 1.1MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 18.7MLiq 1.1MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 20.8MLiq 1.6MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 20.7MLiq 2.8MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 25.0MLiq 553.0KEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 17.9MLiq 3.5MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 16.6MLiq 5.6MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 22.6MLiq 2.8MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 33.8MLiq 5.4MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 20.9MLiq 4.1MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 20.2MLiq 1.8MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 19.1MLiq 6.0MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 23.5MLiq 3.2MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 24.3MLiq 4.5MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 19.8MLiq 5.0MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 13.1MLiq 3.9MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 26.5MLiq 2.4MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 13.0MLiq 7.4MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 25.7MLiq 8.4MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 26.5MLiq 6.4MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 26.2MLiq 7.9MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 25.5MLiq 6.8MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 22.3MLiq 8.0MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 22.1MLiq 7.0MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 24.2MLiq 7.9MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 21.2MLiq 9.1MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 11.7MLiq 9.2MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 10.4MLiq 7.0MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 40.3MLiq 7.5MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 37.8MLiq 8.8MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 32.2MLiq 8.8MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 28.8MLiq 8.8MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 28.5MLiq 8.1MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 27.2MLiq 9.2MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 26.7MLiq 8.1MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 26.6MLiq 7.8MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 25.8MLiq 9.4MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 24.1MLiq 9.2MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 23.3MLiq 9.2MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 19.2MLiq 9.1MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 17.3MLiq 7.3MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 14.0MLiq 9.5MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 13.7MLiq 9.2MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 8.7MLiq —End Jul 20, 2026Closed
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 264.6KLiq —End Jul 20, 2026Closed
- Will Team AM win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 0Liq 0End Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Team AI win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 0Liq 0End Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Team AG win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 0Liq 0End Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Team AH win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 0Liq 0End Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Team AL win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 0Liq 0End Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Team AN win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 0Liq 0End Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Team AJ win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 0Liq 0End Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Team AK win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 0Liq 0End Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Team AO win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 0Liq 0End Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book