Overview
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
world-cup-winner
Volume
1674.7M
24h volume
43.6M
1w volume
282.4M
Open interest
23.0M
Liquidity
342.5M
Liquidity CLOB
342.5M
Start
Jul 2, 2025
End
Jul 20, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 2, 2025
Event ID
30615
Slug
world-cup-winner
Markets
60
Raw event data
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"description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"volume": "0",
"active": false,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-07-02T16:55:14.50461Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-28T11:03:25.240279Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Team AO",
"groupItemThreshold": "59",
"questionID": "0xb5c32a9acd39848acad4913ac4cd49c5de2afcc9d23a8a7ba2419375fab8743b",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 0,
"liquidityNum": 0,
"endDateIso": "2026-07-20",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 0,
"volume1wk": 0,
"volume1mo": 0,
"volume1yr": 0,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"6248841595165561514782366563826694953383315834764501750927289530971890369258\", \"2508228306296492947994749517968042065729708036603468124889079030422879794215\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrAmm": 0,
"volume1wkAmm": 0,
"volume1moAmm": 0,
"volume1yrAmm": 0,
"volume24hrClob": 0,
"volume1wkClob": 0,
"volume1moClob": 0,
"volume1yrClob": 0,
"volumeAmm": 0,
"volumeClob": 0,
"liquidityAmm": 0,
"liquidityClob": 0,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xb5c32a9acd39848acad4913ac4cd49c5de2afcc9d23a8a7ba2419375fab87400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x365bb26e90cbfed942d97bc6ac06e14f3442c9a8dbdc07aa82063289aad92aec",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-07-02T22:27:33Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 0,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
"spread": 1,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0,
"oneYearPriceChange": 0,
"lastTradePrice": 0,
"bestBid": 0,
"bestAsk": 1,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": true,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-07-02T22:06:41.89742Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "sports_fees_v2",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.03,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
}
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "100350",
"label": "Soccer",
"slug": "soccer",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2024-08-21T16:31:18.953213Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:33:09.955379Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "1",
"label": "Sports",
"slug": "sports",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-24 22:37:50.296+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-10-24T22:37:50.31Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:47:16.461062Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102232",
"label": "FIFA World Cup",
"slug": "fifa-world-cup",
"createdAt": "2025-06-08T02:11:18.665669Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:58:26.597292Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102350",
"label": "2026 FIFA World Cup",
"slug": "2026-fifa-world-cup",
"createdAt": "2025-07-02T14:30:54.870153Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:31:50.140497Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102169",
"label": "Hide From New",
"slug": "hide-from-new",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:28:28.912197Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"enableNegRisk": true,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": true,
"featuredOrder": 2,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-07-02T22:06:00.953755Z",
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Spain and France lead the tightly bunched field for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, each at 16.2% implied probability, due to Spain’s recent Euro 2024 title, UEFA Nations League success, and Olympic gold alongside a deep pool of young talent, while France leverages consistent final appearances and elite squad depth. England at 11.2% benefits from strong recent form and set-piece prowess, with Argentina at 8.8% as defending champions featuring Lionel Messi’s experience. Portugal, Brazil, and Germany follow closely, reflecting comparable historical pedigree and current squad quality across multiple contenders. This balance of proven European and South American sides, combined with no dominant outlier entering the expanded 48-team tournament, sustains the competitive dynamics among the top options.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-06-07T16:45:40.051Z"
}
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- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 38.3MLiq 987.5KEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 31.1MLiq 1.2MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 26.9MLiq 1.6MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 32.2MLiq 914.4KEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 27.9MLiq 1.5MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 28.6MLiq 1.6MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 29.3MLiq 1.3MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 31.8MLiq 1.7MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 32.4MLiq 1.5MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 31.8MLiq 2.8MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 34.0MLiq 750.9KEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 31.0MLiq 4.9MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 38.1MLiq 1.0MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 36.7MLiq 1.4MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 30.8MLiq 1.1MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 47.7MLiq 6.4MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 31.2MLiq 2.6MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 30.3MLiq 9.5MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 39.7MLiq 1.6MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 36.8MLiq 5.2MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 31.7MLiq 5.4MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 47.9MLiq 4.5MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 35.0MLiq 5.3MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 21.8MLiq 9.2MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 40.7MLiq 3.9MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 35.2MLiq 10.4MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 41.2MLiq 8.2MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 36.6MLiq 10.6MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 31.0MLiq 9.9MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 18.2MLiq 10.7MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 53.3MLiq 4.5MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 42.5MLiq 12.9MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 38.3MLiq 8.7MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 35.0MLiq 8.8MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 31.5MLiq 13.1MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 19.0MLiq 13.4MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 56.4MLiq 10.7MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 45.0MLiq 13.5MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 44.0MLiq 11.1MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 40.7MLiq 13.1MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 40.7MLiq 13.6MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 39.5MLiq 12.8MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 34.9MLiq 10.0MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 31.7MLiq 13.1MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 31.2MLiq 13.4MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 30.6MLiq 13.9MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 27.7MLiq 14.4MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 18.4MLiq 13.8MEnd Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 8.7MLiq —End Jul 20, 2026Closed
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 264.6KLiq —End Jul 20, 2026Closed
- Will Team AM win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 0Liq 0End Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Team AG win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 0Liq 0End Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Team AH win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 0Liq 0End Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Team AL win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 0Liq 0End Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Team AN win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 0Liq 0End Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Team AJ win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 0Liq 0End Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Team AK win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 0Liq 0End Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Team AO win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Vol 0Liq 0End Jul 20, 2026OpenOrder book